Addressing Houston's structural budget deficit is at the top of city Finance Director Melissa Dubowski's to-do list.
The veteran of nearly a decade in the Houston government has served as deputy commissioner overseeing debt and cash flow forecasting since 2019.
Dubowski said the administration's fiscal year 2025 budget, to be released in mid-May, will take “some first steps” to address the approximately $158 million structural gap.
“There's no one silver bullet,” she told The Bond Buyer. “It will require a combination of reducing spending, identifying new sources of funding, and identifying efficiencies in how to best utilize the funds we have.”
At the same time, the nation's fourth-largest city has a strong fiscal balance, supported by an influx of federal stimulus funds, Dubowski added.
The City of Houston ended fiscal year 2023 with a general fund balance of $550 million on June 30, up from $420.6 million in the previous fiscal year.
Dubowski said the outcome of contract negotiations to resolve a years-long impasse with the city fire department will affect future budgets. Shortly after he took office, Whitmire took steps to take disputes out of court and focus on resolution.he
Dubowski said talks continue with the mayor's goal of reaching an agreement by March.
Fitch Ratings, which rates Houston AA, said the upgrade would result in “sustainable public safety spending relative to its resource base, reduced sustainment costs well below 20% of government spending, and a strengthened spending framework.” It is possible that this could be achieved through a contract that will lead to evaluation. ” An agreement with firefighters that weakens that rating could lead to a downgrade, it added.
Houston is also rated AA by S&P Global Ratings and Aa3 by Moody's Investors Service.
Public safety is the largest expenditure in the Houston budget, with property taxes and sales taxes accounting for the largest sources of revenue.
A 2004 proposal approved by Houston voters capped property tax collections, while a subsequent proposal passed in 2006 authorized additional funding for public safety. Dubowski said options such as asking voters to repeal or amend the cap are “on the table.”
On the infrastructure front, he said the Whitmire administration is considering a $2.6 billion loan for a major renovation of Terminal B at George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Dubowski said city capital projects financed through commercial paper backed by bank lines of credit could be affected by Texas law.
“As we see the pool of eligible banks shrink, we anticipate that costs may increase because we are getting fewer offers,” she said.
Houston's outstanding commercial paper outstanding was $646.4 million at the end of fiscal year 2023.