On Tuesday, I destroyed the following two systems. We'll be using these systems continuously throughout this week, so if you read this article earlier in the week, you'll find some of the same information. However, this update includes Friday slate picks and additional information specific to those games.
You will also find not only the overall system, but also a record of my theatrical performance since Tuesday.
new system tools of DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub Highlights trends over the past 7 days, past 30 days, and the entire season based on a variety of factors. In this article, we'll take a look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week, with the goal of finding other games that can be applied to those systems in next week's games.
There is one thing to note about the upcoming system that matches the sections throughout this article. NBA favorites/losers, spreads, and totals are typically not available until the night before the game. Also, some systems may be based on the results of previous games. Please make sure the games described in this section match before making your selection.
System: Road weak ATS who did not play the previous day
This wasn't the hottest system after the break, but it was solid. More importantly, this play comes after the break on his 13-10 (56.52%), and that's not where this play begins or ends. He is 47-34 (58.02%) in this play over the past 30 days.
System performance since February 27th
System – 7-7
My recommendation – 0-1
System Picks for March 1st
The following four games will fit into this system on Friday.
- Dal@Boss
- POR@MEM
- IND@NOP
- SAC@MIN
My favorite options are IND and SAC. My favorite play favors the Pacers, as De'Aaron Fox is questionable after missing Wednesday's game.
The Pacers just played the Pelicans on Wednesday. Yes, New Orleans was in the second game of a back-to-back, but Indy was also playing their third game in four days. The Pelicans are currently in the same situation the Pacers were in, with Indy at least getting a little more rest.
On top of that, the Pacers are winning and in a favorable environment. After a win, the Pacers are 11-5 ATS when playing as an underdog.
Pick: IND +5.5
System: Total under when road favorites are losing.
This play gave us a good boost after the break. In the past 30 days, he is 5-0 after his All-Star game, and then the under record in this setting he is 19-11-1.
System performance since February 27th
System – 2-1
My recommendation – 1-0
System Picks for March 1st
Only one match fits this system on Friday: CLE @ DET.
Cleveland's lack of a shutout against the Bulls on Wednesday hurt the underplay, but the fact that the game was still at regulation underhit pace only makes me feel better about this play.
The Pistons over-hit more than any other player (30-26-2). The Cavs are under-hitting at a similar rate (31-26-1) and naturally controlled the tempo against Detroit. In the last three meetings between these two teams, the under team has a record of 2 wins, 0 losses, and 1 loss. Additionally, the Pistons finished February with an 8-3 record, and the cell brand was under at 8-5 (it would have been 9-4 had it not been for the aforementioned OT game).
Pick: CLE-DET less than 221.5
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All views expressed are my own. Although I am a DraftKings employee, I am not eligible to participate in his public DFS or DKSB contests.
What this article includes They do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
