Notre Dame has struggled to contain opponents on the glass and has been grabbing a ton of rebounds. This will quite literally play into the hands of Georgia Tech and freshman Baye Ndongo in this afternoon's ACC tournament matchup.
The ACC Tournament bracket opens in Washington, D.C., with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish taking on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in Round 1 on Tuesday.
Those programs finished in the bottom third of the conference, with Georgia Tech climbing up the standings thanks to a late-season surge that saw them win three straight and drop their final game of the season.
Notre Dame returned to the postseason on a losing streak, but won both regular season games against the Yellow Jackets. The Irish have quietly been a good bet over the past month, sporting a 5-1 ATS mark in their last six games. Still, neither team boasts the best odds in the conference tournament.
We calculate the spread and over/under totals for this ACC Tournament opener and provide the best Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame college basketball picks and predictions for Tuesday, March 12th.
Best odds for Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech
Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech picks and predictions
What do you get when you pit two of the ACC's worst shooting teams against each other in a neutral arena? Rebounds, and lots of them.
That means a busy day for Georgia Tech forward Baye Ndongo, who finished sixth among all ACC players in rebounding this season (8.3 rebounds per game).
The 6-foot-9 freshman has been particularly active on the glass over the past two weeks, grabbing 9.7 boards per appearance, an increase in minutes compared to the Yellow Jackets' last six games.
Notre Dame enters the ACC Tournament despite being bullied on the boards in the last four games, especially the last two of the regular season. The Fighting Irish had 38 rebounds (14 on the offensive glass) against Virginia Tech and 45 rebounds (14 on the offensive glass) against North Carolina.
Georgia Tech ranks 74th in the nation in overall rebounding percentage, 41st in total rebounds per game, and averages over 10 offensive boards per game, with 2.6 of those coming from Ndongo. be.
In their first matchup of the season, Notre Dame and GT shot a combined 38% from the field, and Ndongo had nine rebounds in a 75-68 home overtime loss to the Yellow Jackets on January 9. was recorded. In recent matchups, his scoring has been limited. On Valentine's Day in South Bend, early foul trouble led to just 27 minutes remaining, and they finished with just five boards and lost 58-55.
On Ndongo's player prop market, he had a rebound total of 7.5 today and overjuice at -135 at some sportsbooks. Player projections project the latest selection to the ACC All-Rookie Team to have over eight rebounds. Looking around, Ndongo's over his 7.5 rebounds are as low as -122.
Given the projections, his recent rebounding uptick, and Notre Dame's growing dominance on the glass, Georgia Tech's standout freshman is expected to have at least eight boards by the start of the ACC Tournament this afternoon. will lower the
my best bet: Baye Ndongo 7.5+ rebounds (-122 on FanDuel)
Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech parlay
Baye Ndongo over 7.5 rebounds
Baye Ndongo 11.5 points or more
georgia tech money line
Ndongo has been especially active in recent weeks, averaging about 10 rebounds per game over the past six games.
Some offensive putbacks will help Ndongo surpass a scoring prop who averages 12 points per game.
Game models predict a close game, with most agreeing that Georgia Tech is the underdog.
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Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech spread and over/under analysis
Sportsbooks have Notre Dame as a 1.5-point neutral favorite to tip off this ACC tournament. According to Covers Consensus, 54% of picks are running short spreads on his ND.
The Fighting Irish finished conference play with notable wins, including upsets over Wake Forest and Clemson, and then losses at North Carolina and Virginia Tech to close out the schedule.
Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the spread, 17-14 ATS overall, 8-4 ATS on the road and 1-1 ATS in neutral games. The Irish won both games against Georgia Tech and most recently stung the Yellow Jackets, winning 58-55 at home but falling just short of the -3.5 spread.
Georgia Tech won four of its last six games in ACC play, posting a 4-2 ATS mark in that span. The Yellow Jackets are 15-16 ATS overall, 2-1 ATS on neutral courts and 7-6 ATS on the road.
Tuesday's combined score was 130.5 points, with the two lowest-scoring teams in the ACC sharing the floor. The Yellow Jackets and Irish had a 1-1 over/under in their two meetings, but with the help of overtime on Jan. 9, the over was decided and the regulation score was less than the ending total.
Notre Dame is one of the better under bets in college basketball at 11-20 overall O/U. This includes a 5-9 O/U record on road/neutral courts. The Irish are 4-3 O/U in their last seven games of ACC play.
As for Georgia Tech, they finished the regular season with an O/U count of 15 wins and 16 losses, including an O/U record of 9 wins and 7 losses on the road. The Jackets totaled the over in three of the final four games of their schedule.
Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech betting trends you need to know
Georgia Tech is 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall. See more Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech college basketball betting trends.
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Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech match information
position: | Capital One Arena, Washington DC |
date: | Tuesday, March 12, 2024 |
Tips: | 2:00 PM (EST) |
tv set: | ACC network |
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