new system tools of DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub Highlights trends over the past 7 days, past 30 days, and the entire season based on a variety of factors. In this article, we'll take a look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week, with the goal of finding other games that can be applied to those systems in next week's games.
There is one thing to note about the upcoming system that matches the sections throughout this article. NBA favorites/losers, spreads, and totals are typically not available until the night before the game. Also, some systems may be based on the results of previous games. Please make sure the games described in this section match before making your selection.
System: Road team ATS after loss
The road team has bounced back well from their recent loss with a record of 21-8 ATS (72.41%) over the past 7 days. In their last 30 games they are 53-41 ATS (56.38%).
Now, the favorites are slightly better in this environment, but the sample size of the losers in this location is much larger (both in the past 7 days and in the past 30 days). The road favorite is 6-2 ATS with losses in the last 7 days and he is 17-13 ATS in the past 30 days. Road underdogs are 15-6 in the last 7 days in this setting and he is 36-28 in the past 30 days.
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Three games fit into this system on Monday.
- MEM@BKN
- @UTA
- Chi@SAC
Surprise, surprise: Wizards is my favorite play. They are 19-12-1 ATS and are one of the best teams in the league as road underdogs. Additionally, this is the 29th time the system has been implemented in Washington. In their last 28 games played, the Wizards are 17-10-1 ATS. Meanwhile, Memphis is 6-7 ATS and Chicago is 5-7 in this setup.
Note: Because this play depends on the results of the road team's previous game, there is no table summarizing possible plays for this system throughout the week.
System Picks for March 4th
It was +6
System: Total Under West is home vs East
The system didn't attract much attention all season, going 81-74-3, but is currently in the midst of a huge surge. He is 21-11-1 under those games in the past 30 days.
If you check the game logs in your system, you'll see that the actual spike occurred after February 10th. Since that slate, the under is 18-6-1 in this setting.
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Two games fit into this system on Monday.
Regardless of whether De'Aaron Fox returns to the mix or not, I give the nod to CHI-SAC as the most preferred play. Chicago and Sacramento are his two best teams this season. But somehow this total is set to less than 230. This is way too low for a Kings game. Their average total is closer to 240, while the Bulls are around 225.
System Match: Total Under West Home vs East
| 3/4 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/8 | 3/9 | 3/10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/4 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/8 | 3/9 | 3/10 |
| UTA vs. WAS | DAL vs. IND | UTA vs. CHI | Dal vs. MIA | MEM vs. ATL | LAC vs. CHI | LAC vs. MIL |
| SAC vs. CHI | GSW vs MIL | PHO and TOR | OKC vs. MIA | PHO vs. BOS | ||
| Den vs. BOS | LAL vs. MIL | POR and TOR | ||||
| GSW vs. CHI |
System Picks for March 4th
CHI-SAC less than 228
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All views expressed are my own. Although I am a DraftKings employee, I am not eligible to participate in his public DFS or DKSB contests.
What this article includes They do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
